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October sees biggest petrol price rise at UK forecourts in three and a half years

Press release   •   Nov 03, 2016 00:01 GMT

Unleaded prices now at highest since July 2015

Weak pound and a higher oil price biggest factors contributing to rise

RAC calls for continued fuel duty freeze amid price uncertainty


The price of petrol rose more in October than at any time since February 2013, with diesel rising at the fastest rate since May 2008, data from the RAC’s latest Fuel Watch report shows.*

A combination of a weak pound and Brexit fears since the UK’s EU referendum vote and rising oil prices have contributed to average petrol prices rising by 4.39p per litre from 112.34p on 2 October to 116.73p on 31 October. Diesel was up 5.17p per litre, ending the month at 118.65p on average, having begun the month at 113.48p. The average price of both fuels at the forecourt are now at their highest levels since July 2015 – 116.73p per litre for petrol and 118.65p for diesel.

But there are indications that pump prices might stabilise or even reduce slightly in November, as the cost of oil started to fall back in the last days of October. A barrel of Brent crude averaged just under $50 through the month but ended October at a one-month low of $46.63, down from its peak of $51.63 on Wednesday 19 October. Wholesale prices have also responded by dropping sharply at the very end of the month, down by almost 1p and 2p a litre for petrol and diesel respectively.

It now costs £64.20 to fill an average-sized 55-litre petrol family car, with a similar diesel car costing £65.25 per tank to fill. For a light commercial diesel vehicle with an 80-litre tank, it now costs £94.92 to fill from empty.

RAC fuel spokesman Simon Williams said: “October 2016 was an historic month for UK pump prices but – sadly for motorists – for all the wrong reasons. The effects of the weak pound have really been felt on the wholesale market, and this, combined with an oil price at nearly double its lowest level in 2016, has put significant upward pressure on wholesale fuel prices. Retailers have had no choice but to reflect these dramatic increases in the prices they charge at the pumps.

“Certainly, we are a long way from the remarkably low fuel prices enjoyed by families and businesses early in 2016, when the average price of unleaded was around 102p per litre and diesel was 101p. But while the pound remains in the doldrums, and with few expecting it to recover in the near future, there are some indications that November might not shape up so badly.

“The biggest variable affecting what drivers pay when they fill up is the oil price. OPEC, which represents some of the world’s biggest oil producers, recently agreed in principle a cut in production. This would mark a move away from the over-production strategy that they have employed for so long, and mere talk of a cut has been enough to force oil prices higher. But a final deal is still to be agreed at an OPEC meeting at the end of this month and, with some analysts suggesting a deal might yet stall, this leaves open the prospect oil prices might stabilise or even fall before the end of the year.

“Certainly, if the Chancellor has been considering tinkering with fuel duty in this month’s Autumn Statement, the sheer volatility of prices we are currently seeing should, we hope, be enough to make him reconsider.”

Regional fuel price variation

The South East of England remains the most expensive place to buy petrol in the UK, with the average price standing at 117.18p per litre, while the East Anglia remains the most expensive region for diesel with the average litre on sale for 119.13p.

Northern Ireland still sells the UK’s cheapest fuel, with the average price of unleaded at 115.45p per litre and diesel at 117.25p. However, Northern Ireland saw the sharpest rise in the price of unleaded in October (up 5.16p). Scotland saw the largest increase in the price of diesel, up 5.71p.


Regional average unleaded pump prices

Petrol - pence per litre 02/10/2016 31/10/2016 Change
Northern Ireland 110.29 115.45 +5.16
Scotland 111.51 116.41 +4.90
Yorkshire And Humber 111.47 116.20 +4.73
Wales 111.65 116.29 +4.64
North 111.94 116.45 +4.51
East Midlands 112.22 116.68 +4.46
East Anglia 112.71 117.15 +4.44
South West 112.29 116.71 +4.42
South East 112.88 117.18 +4.30
West Midlands 112.69 116.88 +4.19
North West 112.37 116.48 +4.11


Regional average diesel pump prices

Diesel - pence per litre 02/10/2016 31/10/2016 Change
Scotland 113.11 118.82 +5.71
Wales 112.94 118.38 +5.44
Northern Ireland 111.82 117.25 +5.43
North 112.98 118.29 +5.31
Yorkshire And Humber 112.99 118.20 +5.21
East Midlands 113.39 118.56 +5.17
West Midlands 113.63 118.75 +5.12
South West 113.71 118.82 +5.11
South East 114.03 119.10 +5.07
North West 113.16 118.16 +5.00
East Anglia 114.26 119.13 +4.87

Notes to Editors

* The core data for the OctoberRAC Fuel Watch report is based on an analysis of Experian Catalist average prices from 2 to 31 October 2016.

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For the very latest news on UK fuel prices, check RAC Fuel Watch or follow #racfuelwatch on Twitter. This is a comprehensive guide to the latest UK unleaded petrol and diesel prices – both at the wholesale level and at the pump. RAC Fuel Watch analyses how prices changed through the previous month and compares the most recent prices with those from three, six and 12 months before.

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